AT 5PM EDT, THE DISTURBANCE WAS CENTERED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2°NORTH AND LONGITUDE 79.9° WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLESTON, SOUTH CAROLINA AND 185 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA.
THE SYSTEM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 12 MPH, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND MOVE ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MILES PER HOUR WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ALTHOUGH THE DISTURBANCE HAS NOT BECOME ANY BETTER ORGANIZED TODAY, THERE IS STILL POTENTIAL FOR THE SYSTEM TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME, THE LOW SHOULD BEGIN TO INTENSIFY AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE. FORMATION CHANCE THROUGH THE NEXT 48 HOURS TO 5 DAYS IS HIGH, AT ABOUT 70 PERCENT.
THIS SYSTEM POSES NO THREAT TO THE BAHAMAS (OR TCI) AT THIS TIME.
